The latest data on prices for the first quarter of 2021 from the Ministry of Housing (Ministerio de Fomento) and the Land Registry published recently is showing a change in tendency or at least a flattening on the variation of the prices. It is to be noted that the prices by the Ministry of Housing are based on official valuations and the Land Registry ones based on actual closed transactions. Additionally, the prices published by the real estate portal Idealista have also been added into the charts as “asking” prices or what sellers are asking for their properties in the market. There are two main conclusions that can be extracted from the charts below. First of all, that asking prices are still going up although the upward tendency in Marbella has already soften a little bit. That increase in asking price contrasts with the flattening tendency of sold prices and, therefore, increasing the gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are ready to pay for a property and that could be the second conclusion to extract.
SALES PRICE MARBELLA
In any case, the situation is slightly different for Marbella and Benahavis. If we analyze the chart of Marbella, we can see that asking prices have been going up with selling prices up to the end of 2019. Since then the tendency of the sold prices changed and is showing a slight downward tendency that matches the tendency shown in the price curve of what the valuators are valuing. The gap right now between asking and sold prices, or in a way between sellers and buyers, is about 15%.
SALES PRICE BENAHAVIS
In Benahavis, the situation is similar to Marbella’s but different in some aspects. In this case, the asking price keeps on going up on higher degree while the sold price has started to show a downward tendency, -1,2% in one year. That opens even more the insane gap between asking and sold prices from the 20% at the beginning of 2018 to the actual one on top of 40%. The sold prices have been increasing at a nice 4.4% rate in the last five years but asking prices went up a crazy 8,7% a year. Although we keep on feeling the activity on the market and in two weeks we will know how the first quarter went on sales numbers, more increases on asking prices will not help with the high stock of properties for sale the market has.